Saturday 20 July 2013

Gareth Bale – Is He All That?


Gareth Bale scored 21 premier league goals last season. His performance left pundits and journalists raving about him, with comparisons of him to the very best in the world being made. Being an Arsenal fan I was never going to be quite as big of a fan of him as others are. I will now attempt to remove my Arsenal tinted glasses and compare him to the best wingers and attacking midfielders in the premier league and see how his performances truly compare. In this article I will be comparing him to Theo Walcott, Juan Mata and Santi Cazorla. In terms of productivity or DGI (Direct goal Involvement) these players were ranked 3rd, 4th, 5th and 6th, the top 2 being strikers, namely Van Persie and Suarez.

Goals and Shot Conversion

Player Name
Goals Scored
Shot to Goal Conversion Rate
Gareth Bale
21
15.8%
Theo Walcott
14
22.6%
Juan Mata
12
26.1%
Santi Cazorla
12
16%

As the stats show Bale was streets ahead goal wise and finished as the 3rd highest scorer in the premier league but had the worst chance conversion out of all those being compared in this article. Mata had the best conversion percentage but scored the least amount of goals along with Cazorla.

Assists and Key Passes (The final pass leading to the recipient of the ball having an attempt at goal without scoring)

Player Name
Assists
Key Passes
Gareth Bale
4
71
Theo Walcott
10
28
Juan Mata
12
83
Santi Cazorla
11
84

Bale had the smallest number of assists but had a high number of key passes; this may be attributed to him not having great goal scorers around him at Spurs. Mata and Cazorla’s stats in this area are basically inseparable, leaving Walcott with the worst of the bunch.

Pass Length, Accuracy and Direction

Player Name
Pass Length
Pass Accuracy
Pass Direction (Forward)
Gareth Bale
18m
78%
55.3%
Theo Walcott
17m
83%
51.2%
Juan Mata
17m
85%
59%
Santi Cazorla
17m
87%
65%

Bale had the longest average pass length but had the worst passing accuracy; his forward passing percentage was also low, in comparison. Walcott, Mata and Cazorla all had a pass length of 17m with them having accuracies of 83%, 85% and 87% respectively. Cazorla was relatively direct with 65% of his passes going forward.

Duels (Take Ons and Headers, Percentages refer to Success Rates)

Player Name
Take Ons
Success rate
Headers
Success Rate
Gareth Bale
59(/138)
43%
57(/139)
41%
Theo Walcott
47(/107)
44%
7(/24)
29%
Juan Mata
21(/108)
40%
2(/5)
40%
Santi Cazorla
86(/131)
66%
6(/17)
35%

Gareth Bale completed the 2nd most take ons out of those included and won the most headers at the highest percentage. In fact Bale won more headers than the rest involved combined. His number of successful take ons and its percentage pale in comparison to Cazorla’s though.

Player Name
No. of Greens
No. of Yellows
No. of Reds
Points Accumulated
Gareth Bale
4
4
3
16
Theo Walcott
0
8
3
8
Juan Mata
2
6
3
12
Santi Cazorla
5
6
0
21


Allow me to give clarity to the system I used to distribute and give value to the points. As you would have noticed, in each section analysed each players stats were ranked; 1 green, 2 yellows and 1 red. I will be using this system in future comparisons do it would if I you made notes for future reference. Like the system used widely in football, a green or a win is worth 3 points, a yellow for a draw worth 1 point and a red or loss equates to 0 points.
Along with the facts stated above it should be noted that Bale received 6 yellow cards last season, a number for simulation. 9 of his 21 league goals came from outside of the penalty area and he scored 4 with his weak (right foot) and also scored a header. He is a genuine threat on goal for these reasons despite his low chance conversion rate. That factor combined with his ability in the air, low assist number and low pass accuracy suggests that he would be better deployed in another position. In the current system that Andre Villas-Boas is using I believe he would perform better as the central striker or as the man playing behind him. AVB used I him in this position towards the end of last season to great success. AVB also claimed that Bale was “most effective” as a striker. I expect to see him playing more centrally at Spurs next season, assuming he stays at the club.
Now we arrive at the crux of the matter, is Gareth Bale one of the top 5 players in the league. He is definitely one of the top 5 attacking players in the league; he would be in that top 5 with Van Persie, Suarez, Cazorla and Mata. This is a comparison for another day but I guess he would be ranked 3rd or 4th in that chart. When it comes to the top 5 players in the league overall, he would struggle to make the cut, Arteta, Gerrard, Baines, Carrick and Yaya Toure would all be brought into contention.

Although Bale is not yet one of the best 5 players in the Premier League if he continues his ascension footballing greatness he will doubtlessly be up there with the very best of them next season.

5 comments:

  1. Good write up man.

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  2. The eye catching thing about him was that he scored amazing goals, and he is British. Also he managed most at crucial times. Statistics dont tell everything. Gerrard aint in the same league as bale, gerrard has a great passing range but he rarely does his lung busting run into the box, and Liverpool lack a physical presence with him. People were inflienced since bale carried his team likewise rvp and suarez did, but if toure and silva had their '12 season I feel bale is 5th best behind rvp suarez toure silva

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  3. Need to watch more of arsenal and chelsea next season

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  4. @InTheTerrace thanks for the feedback

    ReplyDelete
  5. @JackyHo true,but don't forget the season Mata and Cazorla had, also defensive players and keepers, which is way I say he isnt top 5 yet, he probably will be next season.

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